I’d just like to remind people today that no matter who wins please show some peace and love to others of the opposite side of yourself. I’ve had some spirited discussions with other the past few months but I believe we have all kept it civil for the most part. Recognize the other side might come from a place of good intent yet some how come to an opposing position as yourself. Think of how you might persuade them in the future as opposed to bashing them today.
So this time around I’m trying to adjust for the “embarrassed Trump voter factor” with polls and make educated guesses on places where I feel polls do a disservice by not including options that impact results. To me it also comes down two electoral votes that have haven’t had enough polling to be sure. That is unless one or more of the light blue or light red states I have marked flip to the other side. In which case you could see a larger electoral win than what I have left room for here.
Link to map on 270towin.
Prediction: This one will be close Read Post »
So the past few years I have actually seen several “fake news” story’s posted in various places. It’s not as huge of a thing as it’s currently being made out to be but I have seen several people fall for them. It’s just a learning experience of to be critical of news sources from everywhere.
In my experience Google+ only had a few satire/fake stories spread, Facebook several more and Voat (a Reddit alternative I frequented for a while) had a ton of them.
The most common hoax/satire websites I’ve seen posted on Google+ and
Facebook are:
CBSnews.com.co (Hoax notice .co domain)
National Report (Hoax/Satire website)
Tribune Herald (Satire)
The Daily Currant (Satire)
The worst of were the fake CBS news site and National Report which sometimes post hoax news stories that were very well setup to be believable. If readers didn’t look further to more ridiculous content, they could be easily fooled. With the Tribune Herald and the Daily Currant some of their satire is based on recent news that sometimes confuses people.
The craziest hoaxes I saw were posted on Voat and the domains appear to now be dead. I think the sites talked about run by teenagers from the Republic of Macedonia might have used that for a testing area. The English that appeared to have been run through Google translate was always a good indicator to me.
At any rate, this is all just a lesson to be critical of your news sources. Before sharing a link, look at the URL to see if it’s copying another site. If it’s too crazy to be true, it just might not be true. If the spelling is atrocious, it might also be a hoax but it might just be a demonstration of editors missing from modern news rooms.
So looking at the last polls as of today this would be the final election map based strictly on polling. Things to consider is that several of the states have shift over the past week and are close in places where absentee balloting and early voting is allowed. If we just look at today though, we are back to Clinton winning by a narrow margin but it would likely shift back to Trump as more polls come in. As it is, I think five of the Trump states and two of the Clinton states could go either way depending on turn out over the past week. Making a narrow enough margin that if I were a candidate, I would wait to concede until later than normal.
Source: Poll averages
November 8 Update: 2016 Presidential Election Prediction Read Post »
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